Showing 51 - 60 of 200
BIMCO has today published the next in its series of reports looking at the “road to recovery” for dry bulk shipping beyond the current market difficulties. The foundation for the new report follows the conclusion of BIMCO’s previous analysis – that due to the severity of the current crisis the sector can only return to profitability in 2019 if shipowners deliver “zero supply side growth”, year on year.
Heading into the seasonally strongest part of the year, dry bulk owners have already enjoyed a very profitable year with the temporary factors helping the market stay strong expected to continue providing support into 2022.
Muted fleet growth helps maintain market balance
In 2016 the dry bulk shipping sector experienced some of the worst market conditions in history. In response, BIMCO produced a unique analysis model, named "Road to Recovery" to highlight actions needed for the struggling shipping markets to recover - and to track their progress.
The fleet is growing at the slowest pace since 1999, and solid growth in demand means that the dry bulk shipping industry should be facing another year of improvement to the fundamental balance.
How bad can a market be? Extremely bad if you look at the dry bulk shipping market since early December 2014.
Capesize: There was positive sentiment throughout the dry freight sector this past week, including Capesize, as traders returned from Lunar New Year holidays. Activity was clearly seen to be elevated as the Capesize 5TC rose +5095 over the week to close on a mild Friday at $15,397. The weekly dry bulk market report contains a summary of the recent movements in the market, alongside the latest figures for average dry bulk earnings and Baltic Dry Indices.
The dry bulk market is under immense pressure, as the retreating weight of China as the driver of the market is extensively felt. At a time when supply growth simply breaks new mind-blowing delivery records, the demand situation is pitching in a bit too. Currently, there are reports of Chinese customers in the steel industry that are refusing to honour their contract as prices drop, and stock piles are fuller than normal at a time when steel mills take their foot off the throttle following a red-hot production period in recent months.
The healthy demand picture of some 6% demand growth is what keeps the dry bulkers afloat. Despite the multiple disruptions that have already taken place, we see growing demand for almost all commodities. This has certainly prevented a meltdown of freight rates. Many people expected the current doldrums already last year, but extremely strong demand growth in 2010 postponed the hardship into 2011.
Read the latest interview with BIMCO’s shipping analyst Peter Sand in Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide.
