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The outlook is poor for dry bulk, as the negative demand shock and overcapacity come together to send rates to multi-year lows, even a return to work in China is not enough to support the market.
The Covid-19 crisis has – and will continue to – hit the container shipping market hard, and the current economic situation provides no hope for a short-term recovery.
No V-shaped recovery in sight after the large-scale shutdown of economic activity and the virus posing a risk to globalisation.
Geopolitical tensions have now eased, leaving freight rates to feel the full effects of the weak underlying market and falling demand. Tanker shipping looks set to be under pressure for the rest of the year.
Throughout April, container shipping spot freight rates on the back-haul trade from North Europe to China were higher than those on the front-haul trade from China to North Europe.
This is not the post-2020 environment we expected. The event examined the key issues that marine fuel stakeholders from buyers to suppliers face today. How did we get here, and what can we expect in the months ahead? Is there any IMO 2020 hangover at all, or is the focus now only on dealing with the reality of new market dynamics and the changing economic landscape? Peter Sand, Chief Shipping Analyst, BIMCO provided the Shipowners' Perspective.
Watch the video recording
From the drastic decrease in oil demand to lockdown in manufacturing, Peter provided an overview of the macroeconomic challenges being faced by individual shipping sectors and subsequently indicators of how the breakbulk and project cargo sectors are faring through the current pandemic.
August 2017
The global tanker industry is directly linked to the global oil industry. Right now, demand for seaborne transport of oil is below normal and fleet growth is high, which means that the fundamental balance is uneven. The result is declining tanker earnings with the main culprit being the fast-growing fleet.
BIMCO invites you to join a free webinar discussing the latest outlook for the shipping industry.
US seaborne coal exports are up 57% in total volume and 61% in terms of tonne-miles for the first five months of 2017 compared to the same period last year. If US coal exports remain high throughout 2017 it will have a solid effect on the global seaborne coal trade and support the overall improvement in the dry bulk shipping industry.
June 2017
BIMCO expected newbuild activity to pick up, so the recent development is not surprising. It is however not what the industries needs. As the dry bulk -, crude oil - and oil product tanker shipping sectors are all struggling with very low freight rates, it is important that the recent development in contracting activity reflects a short-term trend.
BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst Peter Sand will be speaking at the Bloomberg Intelligence (BI) Webinar on 29 June 2017 at 16:00 CEST.
There are few purely economic incentives to demolish VLOC’s converted from VLCC’s, as they have secured freight rates and employment on long-term time charter contracts a long time ago. There is also no incentive to sell your ship for immediate profit, as the value of a converted VLOC currently in service, is the same in the secondhand market as the demolition market.
May 2017
BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst Peter Sand, will be speaking at the Bloomberg Intelligence (BI) Webinar on 23 May 2017 at 10:30 (15:30 GMT).
Meet BIMCO's Chief Shipping Analyst Peter Sand and BIMCO's Deputy Secretary General Lars Robert Pedersen at CrewConnect Europe
January struck an upbeat tone for demolition in all sectors, but the overall pace of fleet renewal, via demolition, has slowed down since then.
April 2017
What a rebound. After the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) had its seasonal weakness around the Chinese New Year in early February, stronger-than-expected demand came from across the board and lifted freight rates. This brought earnings into profitable levels for a couple of days, as the BDI passed 1,282 on 27 March 2017.
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