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For the first time in exactly half a year – container spot rates out of Shanghai have increased after falling for 25 consecutive weeks. On the last day of 2010 – Shanghai Shipping Exchanged disclosed rising spot rates for all destinations including the main trading lanes going to Europe and US West Coast. Following a 29% drop on average spot rates, the index rose 4% during the 52nd week of 2010.
Supply to outpace demand in both 2024 and 2025
After a down and up year in container volumes, the current logjams in the system and unbalanced trades will take months to resolve, allowing carriers to profit from high freight rates, and tonnage providers to enjoy lofty charter rates.
BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst, Peter Sand, will be speaking and providing the audience with unique insights on the container market at the European Shipping Seminar on 27 November 2019 in Athens, Greece.
The Covid-19 crisis has – and will continue to – hit the container shipping market hard, and the current economic situation provides no hope for a short-term recovery.
Global growth in container volumes has picked up slightly in the second quarter of the year, with growth in the first seven months reaching 1.2%, compared to the just 0.8% in the first quarter.
Container rates have been sliding on all the major trading lanes since July 2010, with the exception of a small hiccough round the turn of the year
Demand: We see that the freight rate index levels from China show that rates to Europe have been very stable around 1,800 (index value) since April with a slight negative trend over the last three weeks. Spot prices from Shanghai have been equally firm at around USD 1,900 per TEU. Meanwhile, rates for containers heading for US West Coast continue to soar. Since early April the China Containerized Freight Index for the US West Coast has gone up by 20%.
Container ships have reached their highest average age yet at 14.2 years, the highest average age of the three main shipping sectors. The dry bulk fleet has an average age of 11.9 years whereas tankers on average are 12.8 years old.
In 2023, shipyards delivered 350 new container ships with a total capacity of 2.2 million TEU, beating the previous record from 2015 when 1.7 million TEU was delivered. The 2023 record is now likely to be beaten already in 2024.
