Macro economics: 2016 brings lowest GDP growth rate since financial crisis began
27 January 2017It will not be a surprise if we see another downward revision of GDP growth in 2017...
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It will not be a surprise if we see another downward revision of GDP growth in 2017...
The dry bulk fleet exceeded 800 mill DWT in January 2017, as the dry bulk fleet grew by 2.6% year on year. BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst Peter Sand expects the dry bulk fleet to grow 1.6% for the full year in 2017, if the projected demolition activity of 19 mill DWT is realised. The declining growth rate from the panamax, supramax and handysize segments was absorbed by a growing capesize fleet; the total fleet growth was stable in 2016.
Demand. The dry bulk commodity imports into and exports out of China we have seen in the first half of 2016 are very positive – and nothing short of extraordinary. But, putting it into perspective, compared to the devastating freight rate levels over the same period, it highlights that something is very wrong in the dry bulk market. The market is nowhere near balanced.
From a crude oil market perspective, 2016 can be summed up as “eventful”. In January, the international sanctions on Iran were lifted, resulting in a very swift increase of their oil production capacities and subsequent re-entry into the global oil export market.
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