Container Shipping Market Overview & Outlook Q4 2023
28 November 2023Supply to outpace demand in both 2024 and 2025
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Supply to outpace demand in both 2024 and 2025
After a down and up year in container volumes, the current logjams in the system and unbalanced trades will take months to resolve, allowing carriers to profit from high freight rates, and tonnage providers to enjoy lofty charter rates.
Many container operators use charter party trade limits as a sanctions management tool when operating liner services between non-sanctioned countries. To provide an alternative contractual solution and to proactively address the current trend to impose sanctions on the shipping industry, BIMCO is currently developing a sanctions clause specifically designed for time chartering container ships.
Reduced volumes are currently posing a major challenge to container shipping due to the COVID-19 crisis.
Global growth in container volumes has picked up slightly in the second quarter of the year, with growth in the first seven months reaching 1.2%, compared to the just 0.8% in the first quarter.
Container rates have been sliding on all the major trading lanes since July 2010, with the exception of a small hiccough round the turn of the year
BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst, Peter Sand, will be speaking and providing the audience with unique insights on the container market at the European Shipping Seminar on 27 November 2019 in Athens, Greece.
Demand: We see that the freight rate index levels from China show that rates to Europe have been very stable around 1,800 (index value) since April with a slight negative trend over the last three weeks. Spot prices from Shanghai have been equally firm at around USD 1,900 per TEU. Meanwhile, rates for containers heading for US West Coast continue to soar. Since early April the China Containerized Freight Index for the US West Coast has gone up by 20%.
The whole supply chain for charcoal cargoes leading up to sea transportation is about to change with the onset of amendments agreed at the IMO. This will bring about major changes to how charcoal must be safely packed for sea transport, as well as ensuring safer transportation through improved packaging and stowage provisions and requiring mandatory dangerous goods transport documentation.
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the global container market grew only 1.5% from 171.0 million TEU in 2019 to 173.5 million TEU in 2023. Without the pandemic, that figure would have been 24.6 million higher, landing at 198.1 million in 2023.