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Tanker market report dated 15 February 2019

18 February 2019

2019 has already started out as a busy year in terms of tanker ordering activity with VLCCs and MRs once again appearing to be in vogue. So far this year, at least 12 VLCCs and 11 MRs have been contracted. Both asset classes also received the most interest in 2018, with 42 and 49 units being ordered respectively. Now, the question is, was the start of 2019 just a blip or a sign of things to come?  The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers features an overview of the crude oil and oil product tanker market.

Tanker market report dated 12 April 2019

15 April 2019

Like all other crude tanker segments, Suezmax rates have been on a rollercoaster ride over the past six months. Earnings surged in the 4th quarter of last year, in part due to major Turkish Straits delays, in part due to marginal fleet growth. Of course, other factors were at play as well, such as higher Middle East/Russian crude exports in Q4 2019, prior to the re-imposition of the production constraint. The picture now is very different. Earnings on benchmark routes in the Atlantic Basin declined steadily during the 1st quarter, averaging in March close to OPEX. Once again, the decline has been triggered by a combination of factors.  The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers features an overview of the crude oil and oil product tanker market.

Tanker market report dated 15 March 2019

18 March 2019

Opec crude production fell by 240,000 b/d in February to 30.68 million b/d, its lowest level in 4 years. February numbers show a significant over compliance, with Saudi Arabia leading efforts to implement cuts with a 153% compliance rate, some 170,000 b/d already below their overall target.  Iraq and Saudi Arabia alone contributed 170,000 b/d in additional cuts between them in February alone. However, having already cut production close to their original 2019 target, they may now be missing the opportunity to capture market share in the face of rising demand. The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers features an overview of the crude oil and oil product tanker market.

Tanker market report dated 28 June 2019

02 July 2019

2019 so far has proved to be a year dominated by geopolitical events. The US Administration has placed sanctions on both Iran and Venezuela in a bid to reduce crude exports to zero. Tanker sabotage and disruption in the Middle East Gulf has pushed insurance premiums up and led to some shipowners to avoid the region. Potential disruptions to Libyan supply remain. The US-China trade war has threatened to generate an economic slowdown, adding further market uncertainty. Crude prices have ebbed and flowed, touching highs of $74.57/bbl in April and lows of $54.91/bbl in January as both supply, demand and geopolitical signals vie for supremacy.  The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers.

Tanker market report dated 23 August 2019

26 August 2019

In January 2019 the Trump administration announced tough sanctions against PDVSA, designed to halt US imports of Venezuelan crude. The US government also blocked access to its financial system for PDVSA transactions. Overall, sanctions have had the desired effect. Crude trade to US refineries came to a halt since February, down from approximately 0.5 million b/d in 2018. US also stopped exporting clean petroleum products (CPP) to Venezuela, most notably naphtha, used to dilute extra heavy grades to make synthetic crude for exports. Venezuela was largely unable to find a replacement for US clean products, with the volume of CPP imports into the country down by more than 50% compared to levels in 2018. The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers.

Tanker market report dated 16 August 2019

19 August 2019

In recent months, the IEA has on many occasions expressed concerns about the health of the global economy. As such, it is unsurprising the latest downgrade by the international Monetary Fund of its outlook for global GDP growth in 2019 and 2020 prompted similar downward revisions to oil demand. This month the IEA has revised its expectations for growth in world oil consumption by 100,000 b/d, down to 1.1 million b/d in 2019 and 1.3 million b/d in 2020. Some trading houses are even more bearish, predicting just 800,000 b/d growth this year.  The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers.

Tanker market report dated 20 December 2019

13 January 2020

This year started on a positive note for tankers. Healthy earnings were seen in early 2019 supported by strong demand at the time, weather factors and flat fleet growth, following robust demolition activity back in 2018. The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers.

Tanker market report dated 8 March 2019

11 March 2019

Refinery maintenance season is well underway. Scheduled turnarounds in North America may have peaked, but globally planned outages will peak this month, whilst works in Asia stay elevated through to May. High turnaround activity has already impacted both the crude and product tanker markets this quarter, however, evolution in global crude trade flows appears to be supporting tonne mile demand during what is typically a weak period. In the products sector, export volumes are now falling in line with seasonal trends but should be set for a strong rebound in the second half of 2019 as post maintenance export volumes increase. The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers features an overview of the crude oil and oil product tanker market.

Tanker market report dated 4 January 2019

07 January 2019

Late in 2018, China issued a raft of additional refined product export quotas to cope with a domestic oversupply of fuel. These additional volumes were partly responsible for the strength of the Asian product tanker market towards the end of 2018 and the persistent weakness in the Asian oil products markets. For many the question is therefore: what will Chinese refined product export volumes look like in 2019, and can they help sustain the regional product tanker market?  The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers features an overview of the crude oil and oil product tanker market.

Tanker market report dated 18 January 2019

21 January 2019

The scrubber debate continues with the same intensity as it did six months ago, although there appear to be fewer announcements for new installations. According to the DNV GL, the number of new bookings for fittings during 2019 decelerated over the past couple of months. It remains to be seen whether this slowdown is attributable to a diminishing appetite for scrubbers or limitations in yard/manufacturing/equipment capacity. On the face it, perhaps the latter is true since the interest in installations over the course of 2020 continues to grow, although absolute numbers are much lower versus 2019 figures The weekly tanker market report by Gibson Shipbrokers features an overview of the crude oil and oil product tanker market.