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Tanker Shipping - Low demand growth and an ever increasing fleet impact the market conditions negatively

16 August 2012

Overall annual oil demand growth in 2012 is now expected to come in at 0.9% by the IEA (+800,000 barrels per day), close to last year’s 0.8%, which was a 10-year low (excluding the contracting years of 2008/2009). The rise is exclusively originating from non-OECD countries. The outlook was modestly curtailed by early July on the back of the weaker global economic situation. This translates into a rather slim fundamental support to the tanker segment, but fortunately tanker shipping is so much more than overall oil demand.

Tanker Shipping - Tight supply delivers rate spike in Suezmax, MRs hope for a busy Summer on the Atlantic as the US driving season kicks in (while VLCCs struggle in a really tough market)

13 June 2012

The demand picture for oil tankers is steady – perhaps a bit too steady if you look at the freight rate movements for VLCC crude oil tankers and MR clean product tankers. This stands in contrast to the spikes that Suezmax owners have achieved during the first five months of 2012.

Tanker Shipping - Modest demand growth and continued oversupply sets the scene

13 December 2011

Overall, it’s noticeable that record numbers of fixtures and demand for tonnage only produce a short-lived spike at rather low altitudes – making little impact on stretched owners’ financial accounts. Ship owners without a solid cash balance and a strong, or at least sustainable, cash flow will find it increasing difficult to continue in this business at the present level and volatility.