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There is money to be made by both carriers and tonnage providers as volumes defy usual seasonality and remain strong into the fourth quarter of the year. On top of that, low bunker prices –, one of the keys to high profitability this year – look set to stick around.
Demand: EIA has revised their oil demand forecast upwards for 2011. Global oil demand in 2011 is now expected to rise by 1.3 million barrels per day (MB/day) to 87.8 MB/day assuming consensus trends in the global economy, crude prices development and possible efficiency gains. Growth will be driven entirely by non-OECD countries (+3.8% or +1.6 MB/day), while the OECD sees resumed decline (-0.5% or -0.2 MB/day). The outlook for 2010 remains unchanged at 86.5 MB/day (+2.1% or +1.8 MB/day versus 2009).
What will the future bring? Overall demand growth is expected to be lower than in 2017, but still high enough to potentially improve the fundamental market balance.
At times of port restrictions and situations where a crew may be infected or fall ill with COVID-19, it has become apparent that the obligations and rights of contracting parties need to be clarified. The main takeaway from the situation is that parties to a contract should communicate and cooperate when problems arise. Pandemic restrictions are a reality and must be complied with.
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