Market analysis

State of the Bunker Industry - Examining the Key Issues Stakeholders Face Today

This is not the post-2020 environment we expected. The event examined the key issues that marine fuel stakeholders from buyers to suppliers face today. How did we get here, and what can we expect in the months ahead? Is there any IMO 2020 hangover at all, or is the focus now only on dealing with the reality of new market dynamics and the changing economic landscape? Peter Sand, Chief Shipping Analyst, BIMCO provided the Shipowners' Perspective.

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Impact of COVID-19 on Future Shipping Demand with BIMCO's Peter Sand

From the drastic decrease in oil demand to lockdown in manufacturing, Peter provided an overview of the macroeconomic challenges being faced by individual shipping sectors and subsequently indicators of how the breakbulk and project cargo sectors are faring through the current pandemic. 

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Get analysis of the dry bulk, oil tanker and container markets. The BIMCO shipping market analysis team writes a mix of quick insight and deep analysis with a focus on the fundamentals: supply and demand.

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November 2017

Dry bulk shipping: take good care of the recovery

This ongoing recovery is still in a "fragile" state - demand has increased but so has supply.

Tanker shipping: Q4 only delivers temporary upside as overcapacity remains an issue

This is the highest global oil demand ever but it's also a large and growing fleet. What the tanker market needs most right now is more tankers engaged in floating storage facility.

October 2017

Chinese crude oil demand needs 45 additional VLCC’s to support growth

In 2019, global oil demand is forecast to pass the symbolic 100 million barrels per day threshold (International Energy Agency). Developing countries account for almost all of the growth and Asia dominate.  BIMCO stated in its forecast for 2017, that the tanker demand growth for 2017 is expected  to come predominantly from the greater Asia region, led by China. China has met expectations by ramping up its import of seaborne crude oil by 13% for the first nine months of 2017 compared to the same period last year. As China is importing crude oil from further afield in 2017 than in 2016, the tonne miles generated has surged 18%. 

Meet BIMCO’s team at The Asian Logistic and Maritime Conference 2017

BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst Peter Sand will moderate the “Dry Bulk Market Outlook: Sustaining Cautious Optimism for Calmer Waters” panel discussion, scheduled for 23 November at 16:00-17:30. Peter Sand will be joined by Burak Cetinok, Head of Research at Arrow Shipbroking Group and Angad Banga, Chief Operating Officer at The Caravel Group. 

Meet the BIMCO President and team at the Maritime Cyprus 2017 conference

BIMCO’s President Anastasios Papagiannopoulos will moderate the “Smart Shipping” panel discussion, scheduled for 10 October at 11:45. The panel will discuss novel ship design, cyber security and digitalisation – all key issues with a specific bearing on the future. 

September 2017

Meet BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst at The Maritime CIO Forum in Rotterdam

BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst Peter Sand will deliver the closing keynote speech, “What is happening in the shipping markets” at Digital Ship’s 4th Annual Maritime CIO Forum in Rotterdam on 26 September 2017, at the Hilton hotel in Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Shipping outlook webinar

Shipping industry outlook webinar, hosted by Andrew Mina Assistant Manager, Training at BIMCO and presented by Peter Sand Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO.

August 2017

Macroeconomics: Labour market tightens but inflation remains subdued around the globe

BIMCO reported in our previous macroeconomics report in April 2017 that monthly indicators were showing a strengthening in the global economy. The firm growth dynamics in advanced economies have now, four months later, had a cascade effect on some emerging markets and developing economies (EMDE). This solid growth has sparked an appetite for EMDE assets and indicates that the market expects a pickup. 

Container shipping: Solid demand growth reduces spot rate volatility

As freight rates are coming back from the abyss, their actual rise seems to be magnified beyond their actual performance. Some container spot freight rates are up more than 100% from the very low levels of last year, but may still be at a loss-making level now and so spot rates are not the best indicator for market profitability.

Dry bulk shipping: strong demand improves market as it exceeds high fleet growth

Since early July, the capesize rates have gone up and up. By mid-August, they had reached a breakeven level to become profitable. BIMCO estimates that a capesize ship on average fleet financing and operational cost levels, turns profitable when rates are above $15,300 per day.