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The outlook is poor for dry bulk, as the negative demand shock and overcapacity come together to send rates to multi-year lows, even a return to work in China is not enough to support the market.
The Covid-19 crisis has – and will continue to – hit the container shipping market hard, and the current economic situation provides no hope for a short-term recovery.
No V-shaped recovery in sight after the large-scale shutdown of economic activity and the virus posing a risk to globalisation.
Geopolitical tensions have now eased, leaving freight rates to feel the full effects of the weak underlying market and falling demand. Tanker shipping looks set to be under pressure for the rest of the year.
Throughout April, container shipping spot freight rates on the back-haul trade from North Europe to China were higher than those on the front-haul trade from China to North Europe.
This is not the post-2020 environment we expected. The event examined the key issues that marine fuel stakeholders from buyers to suppliers face today. How did we get here, and what can we expect in the months ahead? Is there any IMO 2020 hangover at all, or is the focus now only on dealing with the reality of new market dynamics and the changing economic landscape? Peter Sand, Chief Shipping Analyst, BIMCO provided the Shipowners' Perspective.
Watch the video recording
From the drastic decrease in oil demand to lockdown in manufacturing, Peter provided an overview of the macroeconomic challenges being faced by individual shipping sectors and subsequently indicators of how the breakbulk and project cargo sectors are faring through the current pandemic.
May 2018
When two of the world’s top trading partners, get entangled in a stand-off, where the outbreak of a trade war could become the extended tool of intense negotiations, we’d better prepare for what may come. While hoping that it will never take place.
A “Power panel” debate on the dry bulk and oil tanker shipping markets, including the 2020 global sulphur cap experiment. Sign up here
April 2018
The shipping of soya beans from the US to China is one of the most significant ‘one commodity’ cargoes that may become affected by the trade war between the US and China.
BIMCO’s market analysis team launches a graph section, where BIMCO members can get an overview of a specific sector and how the supply side of that sector develops.
BIMCO’s Deputy Secretary General Søren Larsen and Chief Shipping Analyst Peter Sand will be visiting Odessa, Ukraine to participate at the Grain & Maritime Days on 24 – 25 May 2018 at Black Sea Shevchenko Park Hotel, Odessa, Ukraine.
March 2018
Free trade provides prosperity and peace. It’s a fundamental principle to cherish and safeguard. All trade-restrictive measures are in principle bad for shipping. Right now, the international atmosphere is full of threats of retaliation and it appears likely that major trading partners with the US like the EU and China will hit back to draw a line in the sand for the US Administration and President Trump.
Following a seasonal surge in December 2017, the US seaborne export of oil products (materials derived from crude oil) reached the highest annual level ever, in terms of volume and tonne miles demand. An increase in volume, combined with a marginal increase in the average sailing distance, caused the total annual tonne miles demand to surpass the previous high set in 2013.
BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst will be visiting Singapore to be the moderator at BIMCO’s own seminar and networking event “Crude Oil Tankers: Road to Recovery”. Peter Sand will furthermore be participating in Maritime CEO Forum and a panel discussion at the 15th edition of Asia Pacific Maritime Conference. All three events are hosted in Singapore and will take place on 13-15 March 2018.
February 2018
What will the future bring? Overall demand growth is expected to be lower than in 2017, but still high enough to potentially improve the fundamental market balance.
The fleet is growing at the slowest pace since 1999, and solid growth in demand means that the dry bulk shipping industry should be facing another year of improvement to the fundamental balance.
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