Market analysis

The shipping markets checkpoint – Special Guest Speaker: Mark Williams

The third webinar in our series on the future of the commercial shipping markets.

The webinar had Mark Williams, Managing Director at Shipping Strategy, as the special guest speaker and Peter Sand, BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst, debating the current developments in the shipping markets. The two touched upon the impact of the pandemic and the ways in which shipping sectors navigate through tumultuous times.

The shipping markets checkpoint – Special Guest Speaker: Paul Marsh

The second webinar in our series on the future of the commercial shipping markets.

Paul Marsh, Research Director at Navig8 Group as the special guest speaker and our very own Chief Shipping Analyst, Peter Sand set the scene by discussing the macroeconomics changes brought by the pandemic and how they accentuated the geopolitical tensions felt by the oil tanker shipping industry. The two analysts then share their views on what lies ahead for the crude and petroleum products carries.

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Get analysis of the dry bulk, oil tanker and container markets. The BIMCO shipping market analysis team writes a mix of quick insight and deep analysis with a focus on the fundamentals: supply and demand.

 
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December 2018

Only two Panamax bulkers demolished in 2018

2018 has been a slow year for dry bulk demolitions, with only 4.2 million DWT scrapped (as of 17 December), down 71.6% compared to last year. An almost total halt in Panamax demolitions has been an important factor behind this fall, with demolition in every ship segment down.

Reflections 2019: Global Shipping Scouts for Future Growth

This article contains extracts from BIMCO's Reflections 2019, which will be available in full on 2 January 2019 on www.bimco.org and will be sent out to all BIMCO members alongside thier free member copy of BIMCO's Holiday Calendar 2019.

Meet BIMCO’S Chief Shipping Analyst in Rome, Italy and Athens, Greece

BIMCO’s Chief Shipping Analyst will be participating at the INTERCEM Shipping Forum in Rome, Italy on 22 January 2019 and the Slide2Open Shipping Finance Conference in Athens, Greece on 24 January 2019.

November 2018

Trade war leading to headwinds for the fragile dry bulk recovery

Although the 25% tariff on Chinese imports of US soya beans was implemented on 6 July 2018, its effects have only really started to show since the start of the fourth quarter.

Tanker Shipping: Winter is coming, random shocks can be powerful, but only fundamental improvements last

The continued severity of the tanker market conditions has made owners dig deep into the oversupply of capacity. Still BIMCO expects the tanker fleet to keep growing. A short-term rate recovery is not expected, as it is ‘maintenance season’ for the global refining industry in September and October.

Dry Bulk Shipping: BDI weakness in Q4, as the trade war limits demand growth and demolitions stall

The fragile recovery is stalling because the fleet is growing too fast.

Macroeconomics: Adverse trade politics and rising trade barriers are challenging the industry

The effects of rising barriers to trade, capital flowing out of emerging market economies, and the elevated geopolitical risk are now clear to everyone.

Container Shipping: Slow growing demand is a constant challenge

By examining our fleet-growth estimate alone, 2019 looks like a year in which the fundamental balance can only improve. But the trade war remains the wild card here. 

No US Crude oil exports to China for second month in a row

For the seventh month in a row total US crude oil exports excluding china hit a new all-time high reaching 7.9 million tonnes in September.

US Soya Bean exports to China are down by 97%

The trade war and particularly the Chinese tariffs on imports of US soya beans can now clearly be seen with the start of the soya bean exporting period in the US.